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The "Chinese economic miracle" seems to have captured the
whole world's attention, especially when it comes to production, manufacturing,
sourcing, FDI inflow to China etc'. But do we know about the biggest sector in
the Chinese labor market - the Chinese agricultural sector?
The PRC inherited a ruined country, exhausted from both man made disasters such
as warlords, civil wars, occupation, and natural disasters, droughts, famine,
and floods.
During the Mao era, the Chinese government carried out a wide ranging land
reform in the rural areas. Farmers with little or no land were given land of
their own, significantly arousing their enthusiasm for production. Overall in
Mao's period,
China's
agriculture developed slowly, with some golden times such as 1953-57 when the
yearly gross output increased by 4.5% on average.
Under Mao, the conceptual role of agriculture was imperative. The Chinese farmer
was basically the equivalent to the Soviet blue collar proletarian, thus the
importance of the farmers in the class struggle was fundamental.
After 1978 and under the reforms,
China
introduced the household contract responsibility system, linking remuneration to
output, and started to dismantle the people's commune system, eliminating the
links between organizations of state power and economic organizations.
Contracting land out to farmers altered the distribution form of land and
mobilized the farmers' enthusiasm for production. As a result, for six years
following 1978, agricultural output grew more than twice as fast as the average
growth rate over the previous twenty five years.
The reforms made the market play a basic role in adjusting supply and demand
situation for agricultural products and allocating resources, and aroused the
farmers' creativeness and enthusiasm for production.
On the whole, the reformist thrust of China's economic policy since 1978 has
benefited agriculture, as it has benefited the economy in general. Nevertheless,
after 30 years of reforms, the sector is still behind most of the other sectors
in the Chinese economy.
The economic and political role of agriculture in contemporary China -
1. Food security. In an extremely large and populated country like China, the
concept of food security is fundamentally important. The task of feeding its
people has been perhaps the first priority of its rulers throughout history.
2. Political and social stability. The farmers of
China
are known to have a "rebellious spirit", which is well documented in the history
books. When famine, war, or other extreme conditions took place, the farmers of
China, whom use to be the majority of the population, and remain to be the
largest group of China's people, chose to strike. Thus, there is a consensus
that there is no stability without the farmers / agriculture, and in order to
avoid "da luan" - big chaos, the farmers must be kept quiet and content. At
present still, the farmers of China are the largest, yet under-represented
group, which holds the keys to stability in China.
3. Employment tool. The concept of agriculture as an employment tool in China is
a bit of a paradox. On the one hand there is a massive scale of labor surplus in
the agricultural sector, resulting in underemployment or even unemployment. On
the other hand, agriculture remains to be the biggest sector responsible for the
employing feeding, and consequently keeping social and political order of around
60% of China's population.
4. GDP share. The reforms in the early 1980s initially increased the relatively
share of the agricultural sector. The share of agricultural output in the total
GDP rose from 30% in 1980 to 33% in 1983. Since then, however, the share of
agriculture in the total GDP has fallen fairly steadily, and by 2003 it was only
14%. These figures indicate a relatively small share of the agricultural sector,
nevertheless a noteworthy one in the overall performance of the Chinese economy.
What are the main obstacles to the agricultural sector in China than?
1. Natural resources and disasters. At the beginning of the 21st century, China
has still to face and deal with a number of severe ecological / environmental
problems, some are the consequences of human mistakes, and some are simply a
result of "mother nature's" course. The main problems are water supply, i.e.
shortage, wastage and quality. In the agricultural context, irrigation is likely
to be the most important factor.
2. Education. Chinese policy documents state that national modernization depends
on accelerating quantity-quality transition in the countryside, because a large
"low quality" rural populace hinders progression from tradition, poverty and
agrarianism to modernity and prosperity.
3. Technology. The standard of a country's agriculture is appraised, first and
foremost, by the competence of its farmers. Poorly trained farmers are not
capable of applying advanced methods and new technologies. Deng Xiaoping always
stressed the prominent of science and technology in the development of
agriculture. He said - "The development of agriculture depends first on policy,
and second on science. There is no limit to developments in science and
technology, nor to the role that they can play....in the end it may be that
science will provide a solution to our agricultural problems".
Accordingly, China is seeking technology transfer in the agricultural sector,
formed by joint ventures with international collaborators.
4. Limited investment from government. Between the Second and Fifth five-year
plan periods (1958-1962 and 1976-1980), agriculture's share of capital
construction and other relevant forms of investment made available by the state
remained a little over 10%. In 1998 agriculture and irrigation accounted,
respectively, for less thsn 2% and 3.5% of all state construction investment.
5. Limited inflow of FDI - foreign direct investment. Most sectors in China
enjoy an enormous inflow of FDI, which particularly helped in 2 dimensions -
technology transfer and capital availability. The lack of an outside funding,
accompanied with a reduced local funding contributed to the deterioration of the
agricultural sector.
In conclusion, Chinese agriculture, unlike other sectors in the Chinese economy,
is still rather under developed, and requires a substantial boost from both the
local and the international community. It is my prediction than, that more and
more foreign investors will discover its enormous potential and act accordingly.